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Diplomatic Efforts Intensify to Prevent Middle East Conflict as Israel Braces for Possible Iranian Retaliation

On Monday, diplomatic efforts intensified to prevent a worsening conflict between Iran and Israel, following recent high-profile killings that have sharply increased regional tensions. Several countries have also issued warnings for their citizens to evacuate Lebanon.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu declared late Sunday that Israel is “resolute in its stance” against Iran and its allied groups “across all fronts.”

As the conflict between Israel and Iran-backed Hamas in Gaza approaches its 11th month, Israel is preparing for potential retaliation from the Iranian-led “axis of resistance” in response to the recent deaths of two senior figures.

Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh was killed in Tehran last Wednesday in an attack attributed to Israel, though Israel has not officially commented on this incident. This occurred shortly after an Israeli strike in Beirut that resulted in the death of Hezbollah military chief Fuad Shukr.

On Monday, Tehran asserted its “legal right to punish the Zionist regime” for the assassination of Haniyeh, amid growing international concern.

U.S. President Joe Biden, who has deployed additional warships and fighter jets to the region in support of Israel, held emergency talks with his national security team. General Michael Kurilla, head of U.S. military operations in the Middle East, arrived in Israel for a security assessment with Israeli military chief Lieutenant-General Herzi Halevi.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken informed G7 counterparts that an Iranian or Hezbollah attack could occur as soon as Monday. Blinken urged diplomatic pressure on Tehran, Hezbollah, and Israel to “exercise maximum restraint.”

Israeli government spokesman David Mencer stated that the country is “preparing for all scenarios, both offensively and defensively.”

There are concerns that a possible Iranian attack on Israel could escalate into a broader regional conflict, with Lebanon potentially at the forefront. Turkey and several other nations have advised their citizens to leave Lebanon, where Hezbollah is based.

Airlines are adjusting their schedules, with Germany’s Lufthansa suspending flights to the region, including Tel Aviv, and avoiding Iraqi and Iranian airspace. Royal Jordanian Airlines is operating flights to evacuate nationals from Beirut.

UN rights chief Volker Turk and Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani, representing the G7 presidency, have called for urgent action to de-escalate the situation. French President Emmanuel Macron has also joined calls for restraint in discussions with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and UAE President Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed.

Jordan’s Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi made a rare visit to Tehran to deliver a message from King Abdullah II to President Masoud Pezeshkian.

The ongoing Gaza conflict, which began with Hamas’ attack on October 7, has already involved Iranian-backed militants from Syria, Lebanon, Iraq, and Yemen. The Hamas attack resulted in around 1,200 deaths, while Israel’s retaliation has caused significant casualties and damage in Gaza, with the Gaza Health Ministry reporting over 39,000 deaths.

The region remains on edge, with ongoing cross-border clashes between Hezbollah and Israeli forces. Recent Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon killed three people, while Hezbollah reported the death of a fighter from the same area. Additionally, rockets were fired from Gaza into Israel, causing further injury.

The humanitarian situation in Gaza continues to deteriorate, with widespread destruction of infrastructure and a severe humanitarian crisis. UNRWA reported that some of its employees were implicated in the October 7 attack, leading to their dismissal.

Efforts to negotiate a ceasefire and a hostage release deal have faced numerous setbacks, but diplomats hope that a truce in Gaza could help stabilize the broader region.